Canadian National Railway Stock Performance

CNI Stock  USD 110.46  1.03  0.94%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Canadian National holds a performance score of 18. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.81, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Canadian National's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Canadian National is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Canadian National's sortino ratio, skewness, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Canadian National's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Canadian National Railway are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak basic indicators, Canadian National demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.94
Five Day Return
2.87
Year To Date Return
10.13
Ten Year Return
91.8
All Time Return
3.3 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0245
Payout Ratio
0.3451
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
2.7
Dividend Date
2026-03-31
 
Canadian National dividend paid on 30th of December 2025
12/30/2025
1
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2
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3
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02/02/2026
4
Canadian National Stock Rises 2.8 percent Since Q4 Earnings Release
02/05/2026
5
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02/06/2026
6
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02/11/2026
7
Varma Mutual Pension Insurance Co Grows Stock Holdings in Canadian National Railway Company CNI
02/13/2026
8
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02/17/2026
9
Dont Miss These 4 Standout 52-Week Highs and Lows
02/18/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow382.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3.7 B

Canadian National Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,031  in Canadian National Railway on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,015  from holding Canadian National Railway or generate 22.31% return on investment over 90 days. Canadian National Railway is generating 0.3472% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.4887% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 13% of stocks are less volatile than Canadian, and above 94% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Canadian National is expected to generate 2.0 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.0 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Canadian National Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Canadian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 110.46 90 days 110.46 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Canadian National to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Canadian National Railway probability density function shows the probability of Canadian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Canadian National has a beta of 0.81 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Canadian National average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Canadian National Railway will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Canadian National Railway has an alpha of 0.1647, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Canadian National Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Canadian National

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canadian National Railway. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
109.47110.96112.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.41114.13115.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
112.43113.92115.40
Details
32 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
99.18108.99120.97
Details

Canadian National Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Canadian National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Canadian National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Canadian National Railway, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Canadian National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.81
σ
Overall volatility
4.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Canadian National Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Canadian National for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Canadian National Railway can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 30th of December 2025 Canadian National paid $ 0.65 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Dont Miss These 4 Standout 52-Week Highs and Lows

Canadian National Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Canadian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Canadian National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Canadian National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding623.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments362.7 M

Canadian National Fundamentals Growth

Canadian Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Canadian National, and Canadian National fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Canadian Stock performance.

About Canadian National Performance

By evaluating Canadian National's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Canadian National's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Canadian National has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Canadian National has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 28.08  34.33 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.14 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.22  0.14 

Things to note about Canadian National Railway performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Canadian National for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Canadian National Railway help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 30th of December 2025 Canadian National paid $ 0.65 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Dont Miss These 4 Standout 52-Week Highs and Lows
Evaluating Canadian National's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Canadian National's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Canadian National's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Canadian National's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Canadian National's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Canadian National's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Canadian National's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Canadian National's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Canadian National's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Canadian National's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Canadian National's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Canadian National's price analysis, check to measure Canadian National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Canadian National is operating at the current time. Most of Canadian National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Canadian National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Canadian National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Canadian National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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